Voter Data In AZ Proves No Labels Is A Spoiler

September 25, 2023 – Last week, the Associated Press reports that No Labels – a secretive DC-based, dark money funded organization attempting to put a third party candidate on the presidential ballot in 2024 – registered over 15,000 voters in the swing state of Arizona. 

In 2020, President Biden won Arizona by less than 11,000 votes in large part because right-leaning Independents and Moderate Republicans crossed party lines out of disgust for Donald Trump. Many of these voters are classified as “Double Haters,” or those who did not like either major party nominee. Nationally, they went for Biden by 35% in 2020. 

Despite No Labels’ claims they will not spoil a Joe Biden victory, the party registration demonstrates they are pulling from the exact voters who delivered him the state: Republicans who crossed party lines in 2020. 

On the other side of the ledger, the Democrats and moderate independents joining the No Labels party are similarly affected; they do not want Trump but would like an alternative to Biden. Without a third party in the race, it can be assumed they would otherwise vote for Biden again. 

15,000 voters is not enough to win Arizona in 2024, but it is enough to swing the state for Donald Trump. This explains why so many Republican donors and staffers are joining the Labels. Because the data clearly shows that No Labels acts as a Biden spoiler.

Key data points from the AP ARTICLE:

“About half of registrants in August were formerly independent and another quarter were newly registered, according to Sam Almy, a Democratic data analyst based in Phoenix. The rest came mostly from the two major parties: 14% were previously Democrats and 11% had been Republicans.”

“While only about a quarter of the newly registered No Labels members came from the major parties, they’re much likelier to vote. About 63% of the former Democrats and 65% of the former Republicans voted in 2020, while only 45% of the former independents cast a ballot.”

The Lincoln Project is a leading pro-democracy organization in the United States — dedicated to the preservation, protection, and defense of democracy.

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